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Duverger Syndrome

The Duverger Syndrome is democracies' most critical illness. Both the causes and the fixes are known. Solutions must be applied as a matter of priority.

  Duverger example: Taiwan 2000 and 2004 presidential elections

The 2000 and 2004 presidential elections in the Republic of China, Taiwan are the best historical illustration of Duverger's Law, and mimic quite closely what occurred almost two centuries earlier in the United States during their 1836 and 1840 elections.

These two elections in Taiwan perfectly illustrate the mechanism of Duverger's Law, due to the use of plurality voting, and the core political problems that arise from it. It is critical for Taiwan and other democracies to adopt a better voting method.

The 2000 election was only the second free popular presidential election, and the one that would see the end of the KMT rule over the country, and that would prove that Taiwan had indeed become a democracy.

However, opposition candidate Chen Shui-bian, although elected, would not win with a majority of the votes.

2000 Presidential Election

Candidate Party Result Winner
Chen Shui-bian 陳水扁
Annette Lu 呂秀蓮
Democratic Progressive Party 民主進步黨 39.30%
James Soong 宋楚瑜
Chang Chau-hsiung 張昭雄
Independent 無黨籍 36.84%
Lien Chan 連戰
Vincent Siew 蕭萬長
Kuomintang 中國國民黨 23.10%
Hsu Hsin-liang 許信良
Josephine Chu 朱惠良
Independent 無黨籍 0.63%
Li Ao 李敖
Elmer Fung 馮滬祥
New Party 新黨 0.13%

2004 Presidential Election

Candidate Party Result Winner
Chen Shui-bian 陳水扁
Annette Lu 呂秀蓮
Democratic Progressive Party 民主進步黨 50.11%
Lien Chan 連戰
James Soong 宋楚瑜
Kuomintang 中國國民黨 49.89%

2000 Taiwanese presidential election

Presidential elections were held in Taiwan on 18 March 2000 to elect the president and vice president. With a voter turnout of 83%, Chen Shui-bian and Annette Lu of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) were elected president and vice president respectively with a slight plurality.

2004 Taiwanese presidential election

Presidential elections were held in Taiwan on 20 March 2004. A consultative referendum took place on the same day regarding relations with the People's Republic of China.

President Chen Shui-bian and Vice President Annette Lu of the Democratic Progressive Party were re-elected by a narrow margin of 0.22% over a combined opposition ticket of Kuomintang (KMT) Chairman Lien Chan and People First Party Chairman James Soong. Lien and Soong refused to concede and unsuccessfully challenged the results.

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